Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.854986 0.989495 1.135090 1.303998 1.494144 1.701156 1.943152
2024-12-15 0.677680 0.868956 1.094161 1.377034 1.720829 2.122997 2.626740
2024-12-22 0.548119 0.767981 1.046085 1.419305 1.902097 2.500123 3.290718
2024-12-29 0.472978 0.715097 1.040547 1.502010 2.130104 2.944633 4.068293
2025-01-05 0.390099 0.633862 0.980703 1.498038 2.235368 3.231492 4.658179
2025-01-12 0.322866 0.561454 0.919409 1.478689 2.309661 3.473998 5.197642
2025-01-19 0.271702 0.503642 0.869232 1.465306 2.384944 3.716271 5.745675
2025-01-26 0.239131 0.469733 0.849710 1.493112 2.519094 4.047026 6.435500
2025-02-02 0.210216 0.436823 0.826484 1.510388 2.635294 4.355238 7.107040
2025-02-09 0.184476 0.405037 0.800324 1.518393 2.734756 4.641171 7.758181
2025-02-16 0.166850 0.385433 0.792283 1.554725 2.880752 5.005290 8.546075
2025-02-23 0.148470 0.361144 0.772376 1.567325 2.986363 5.309515 9.254212
2025-03-02 0.124906 0.322507 0.721641 1.520805 2.989648 5.452772 9.722283
2025-03-09 0.114657 0.310962 0.721866 1.568290 3.160789 5.882697 10.678218
2025-03-16 0.104205 0.297070 0.715507 1.602180 3.309398 6.282535 11.604627
2025-03-23 0.099522 0.296015 0.735415 1.688804 3.560029 6.869532 12.871605
2025-03-30 0.087735 0.275179 0.710375 1.682519 3.635748 7.155656 13.640759
2025-04-06 0.076369 0.253071 0.679438 1.660441 3.678531 7.384226 14.319680
2025-04-13 0.066993 0.234295 0.653367 1.645399 3.732623 7.634044 15.044723
2025-04-20 0.061443 0.225183 0.648748 1.676028 3.878985 8.058837 16.097495
2025-04-27 0.055836 0.214720 0.639436 1.695078 4.002590 8.446793 17.099990
2025-05-04 0.050325 0.203342 0.626288 1.703906 4.105133 8.799403 18.052358
2025-05-11 0.046790 0.197546 0.626691 1.744022 4.275583 9.288866 19.275494